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  • Economic Scenario Generators, Part I: Motivation for Stochastic Modeling
    Generator (AIRG), the most commonly used ESG by U.S.-based actuaries. See Figure 1 for an overview of ... assigning a market-consistent value to a variable annuity (VA) product with a guaranteed minimum accumulation ...

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    • Authors: Dean Kerr, Matthew Zhang, Rahat Jain
    • Date: Nov 2019
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: The Modeling Platform
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
  • Economic Scenario Generators, Part III: In-depth ESG Case Study—Academy Interest Rate Generator
    According to the Academy, starting from 1950s monthly S&P data: Return percentiles fit history tightly. Show ... shown in Figure 8. Figure 8 Monthly S&P Returns When comparing AIRG S&P 500 projections against a lognormal ...

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    • Authors: Rahat Jain , Dean Kerr, Matthew Zhang
    • Date: Jul 2021
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: The Modeling Platform
    • Topics: Life Insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods